For the foreseeable future, maritime trade through the Red Sea will remain a hostage to Ansar Allah and Iran. They will likely use this to secure concessions elsewhere.
For the foreseeable future, maritime trade through the Red Sea will remain a hostage to Ansar Allah and Iran. They will likely use this to secure concessions elsewhere.
A debate on whether Israel should seize on the current moment to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities.
Given the escalation of tensions between Iran and Israel, combined with the growing calls for withdrawal within Iran, the United States and a broader coalition of concerned states would be prudent to anticipate Iran’s withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and do their best to prevent it.
The best option already has a successful playbook from 2013.
Tehran’s attempts to establish “new equations” of deterrence through direct strikes on Israel have largely backfired.
85-year-old Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is caught in a high-stakes military, financial and psychological battle against America and Israel at a time when his own mental faculty and energy are undoubtedly fading. Hesitating to respond to adversaries’ provocations risks further diminishing his authority, yet a strong response could jeopardize his survival.
Curtailing cooperation with the global nuclear order may be provocative, but it is not necessarily productive.