Working towards institutionalizing regional stability and predictability in the South Caucasus is essential, though not sufficient, for a smooth transition for Azerbaijan’s post-oil economy and securing the stability of Aliyev’s regime.
Working towards institutionalizing regional stability and predictability in the South Caucasus is essential, though not sufficient, for a smooth transition for Azerbaijan’s post-oil economy and securing the stability of Aliyev’s regime.
The deal would be a geopolitical game-changer.
While Baku appears inclined to pursue a “business only” arrangement with the European Union, it’s unclear whether that would be acceptable for Brussels.
Armenia and Azerbaijan may be nearing a bilateral peace agreement, but the threat of violence persists. A major sticking point is the Zangezur Corridor, where Baku and Moscow may pursue a deal to the detriment of Yerevan and the West.
Rapid geopolitical change is curtailing Russian power in the South Caucasus, boosting the influence of Middle Eastern countries and bookending the region’s “post-Soviet” history.
A discussion on the implications of Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev getting reelected.
Syria, Azerbaijan, and some officials in Israel have conceptualized forced displacement as a mode of conflict management. That has consequences for the Western peacebuilding model.