Climate change could present an opportunity for meaningful political and economic change in Azerbaijan. But the country’s green transition may instead serve to sustain the institutions that reinforce the regime’s stability.
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Turkey continues its balancing act, siding with the West on Ukraine but relying on Russia to pursue its ambitions of becoming a regional energy center. While progress toward bringing Turkey closer to the West will have its limits, there is scope for more cooperation between Brussels and Ankara.
Turkey’s dependence on energy imports has an impact on the country’s economic and geopolitical orientation. Turkish leaders should devise energy policies that respond to domestic priorities, regional ambitions, and the challenges posed by climate change.
An intense politicization of climate change debates is becoming one of Europe’s defining political crises. But counterintuitively, this trend could offer a healthy democratic corrective that ultimately serves a more just and inclusive climate transition.
Past German governments have relied on Russian gas and the U.S. security umbrella. With Putin’s war in Ukraine and the prospects of a Trump presidency, Berlin needs a strategic mindset to lead Europe.
Reluctant to change the status quo, the EU has failed to adapt to today’s unstable world. In the new year, it must answer tough questions about its security and global role.*
2023 revealed that the EU is less of a climate leader than it thought it was. To prepare for future disruptions, Brussels must invest in safe mining and strategic partnerships aimed at global de-risking.
