Following Russia’s unprovoked full-scale invasion in 2022, Ukraine has moved from the fringe to the center of the European security order. The United States and its allies and partners need a sustainable, long-term policy framework to defeat Russia’s aggression and help ensure a future for Ukraine as a resilient democracy anchored firmly in Europe. Carnegie has launched a multiyear initiative that will contribute policy and analytical heft to these efforts, in partnership with Ukrainian scholars. Our team includes a variety of preeminent military analysts, retired senior diplomats, and other experts from the United States, Europe, and around the world. For additional analysis on Ukraine and the region, please see Carnegie Europe’s Ukrainian Voices and Europe’s East projects, as well as Carnegie Politika.
The Russia and Eurasia Program continues Carnegie’s long tradition of independent research on major political, societal, and security trends in and U.S. policy toward a region that has been upended by Russia’s war against Ukraine. Leaders regularly turn to our work for clear-eyed, relevant analyses on the region to inform their policy decisions.
Eric Ciaramella
Senior Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Program
Eric Ciaramella is a senior fellow in the Russia and Eurasia program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. His work focuses on Ukraine and Russia.
Andrew S. Weiss
James Family Chair, Vice President for Studies
Andrew S. Weiss is the James Family Chair and vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where he oversees research on Russia, Ukraine, and Eurasia. His graphic novel biography of Vladimir Putin, Accidental Czar: the Life and Lies of Vladimir Putin, was published by First Second/Macmillan in 2022.
Eugene Rumer
Director and Senior Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Program
Rumer, a former national intelligence officer for Russia and Eurasia at the U.S. National Intelligence Council, is a senior fellow and the director of Carnegie’s Russia and Eurasia Program.
Dan Baer
Senior Vice President for Policy Research, Director, Europe Program
Dan Baer is senior vice president for policy research and director of the Europe Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Under President Obama, he was U.S. ambassador to the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) and he also served deputy assistant secretary of state for the Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor.
Michael Kofman
Senior Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Program
Michael Kofman is a senior fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where he focuses on the Russian military, Ukrainian armed forces, and Eurasian security issues.
Dara Massicot
Senior Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Program
Dara Massicot is a senior fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Her work focuses on defense and security issues in Russia and Eurasia.
Marie Yovanovitch
Senior Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Program
Marie Yovanovitch is a senior fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Eric Green
Nonresident Scholar, Russia Eurasia Program
Eric Green is a nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Kateryna Shynkaruk
Nonresident Scholar, Russia and Eurasia Program
Dr. Kateryna Shynkaruk is a nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Pavlo Klimkin
Nonresident Senior Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Program
Pavlo Klimkin is a nonresident senior fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Thomas de Waal
Senior Fellow, Carnegie Europe
De Waal is a senior fellow at Carnegie Europe, specializing in Eastern Europe and the Caucasus.
Gwendolyn Sasse
Nonresident Senior Fellow, Carnegie Europe
Sasse is a nonresident senior fellow at Carnegie Europe. Her research focuses on Eastern Europe, with a particular focus on Ukrainian politics and society, EU enlargement, and comparative democratization.
The security agreements between Ukraine and its partners contain important commitments for ensuring Ukraine’s long-term defense and deterrence capabilities. Still, there is significant room to make their design more credible and durable.
If the United States and EU allow funding to lapse, the consequences could threaten NATO’s core mission.
As Russia settles into a long war of attrition, Ukraine’s defense industry needs help. Joint ventures with Western companies could offer the right amount of support.
As Russian President Vladimir Putin looks toward the second anniversary of his all-out assault on Ukraine, his self-confidence is hard to miss.
Never in its history has the union moved to admit a country that was in the midst of a major war and lacked NATO’s security guarantees.
Taken together, Western industrial and military potential greatly exceeds Russia’s, but without the political will, potential alone will not translate into results.
China has provided a vital economic lifeline to Russia, while Ukraine has chosen a narrow diplomatic path to keep engagement with China on the table.
Podcast host Alex Gabuev is joined by Sophia Besch, a fellow at the Carnegie Europe Program, and Eric Ciaramella, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Russia and Eurasia Program, to discuss the outcomes of the NATO summit in Vilnius.
With Ukraine’s membership in NATO still a distant prospect, Kyiv and the West must reach consensus now on a realistic long-term security arrangement. Codified multiyear commitments to train and equip Ukraine’s military, support for the country’s indigenous defense industry, and clear links to its EU accession process will be key.
The IMF approved an unprecedented four-year, $15.6-billion program for Ukraine. While the program is a significant step toward ensuring the country’s economic stability, Ukraine must pursue several reforms for financing to continue. Meanwhile, the international community should make hard commitments beyond 2024.
